Kamis, 05 April 2012

MLB Season Preview: Predictions

The 2012 MLB season is now upon us as all 30 teams are raeady to go after a long but busy offseason. The big question that now remains is who will win the 2012 World Series. Here is a full prediction for the 2012 season.

Awards

AL MVP
1. Rays 3B Evan Longoria
2. Tigers 1B/3B Miguel Cabrera
3. Angels 1B Albert Pujols
4. Yankees CF Curtis Granderson
5. Red Sox 1B Adrian Gonzalez
Longoria is the star on arguably the best team in the AL and I expect MVP caliber numbers from him as Cabrera, Pujols, and Granderson will all put pressure on him. Gonzalez is a major sleeper to win the AL MVP.

NL MVP
1. Reds 1B Joey Votto
2. D'Backs RF Justin Upton
3. Dodgers CF Matt Kemp
4. Phillies RF Hunter Pence
5. Rockies SS Troy Tulowitzki
Votto just signed a new contract extension and Votto has consistently been one of the best players in baseball. Upton and Kemp will both be major threats to Votto as Pence and Tulo are sleepers.

AL Cy Young
1. Tigers SP Justin Verlander
2. Angels SP Jered Weaver
3. Mariners SP Felix Hernandez
4. Yankees SP CC Sabathia
5. Rays SP David Price
It would not surprise me to see Justin Verlander win another Cy Young as I expect him to continue to dominta though it could go to any of the five guys on this list.

NL Cy Young
1. Giants SP Tim Lincecum
2. Phillies SP Roy Halladay
3. Dodgers SP Clayton Kershaw
4. Phillies SP Cole Hamels
5. Cardinals SP Adam Wainwright
This should be a very close battle as all of these guys are elite pitchers. Adam Wainwright could be a sleeper as I expect him to get back to the level he was at before he became injured.

Division Predictions
WC- denotes Wild Card winners

AL East
1. Tampa Bay Rays
2. New York Yankees WC
3. Boston Red Sox
4. Toronto Blue Jays
5. Baltimore Orioles
The Rays have the best rotation in baseball and one of the best players in Evan Longoria. This team is built to contend for a World Series. The Yankees are too good of a team not to make the playoffs this season. The Red Sox have some good star player but are not a playoff quality team in the American League. Toronto is getting better but in this division, they are still not ready to contend. It will be a long season for the Orioles as their fans should be happy if they win 70 games.

AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers
2. Kansas City Royals
3. Cleveland Indians
4. Chicago White Sox
5. Minnesota Twins
The Tigers brought in Prince Fielder with the goal of contending for a World Series and there is no doubt that they are the best team in this division. The Royals could surprise some this year as this team is built to be a true playoff contender beginning in 2013. Cleveland is another up-and-coming team that is going to need Ubaldo Jimenez if they are to contend this year. The White Sox and the Twins are both rebuilding so fans should not be surprised with their lack of hopes to contend this year but watch out for them ina couple of years.

AL West
1. Los Angeles Angels
2. Texas Rangers WC
3. Seattle Mariners
4. Oakland Athletics
The Angels made some big improvements this offseason by signing Pujols and CJ Wilson and I expect those additions to pay off in the formof winning the AL West. Texas does not have as good of a rotation as they have had in the past but this team will definitely be a Wild Card. The Mariners and Athletics are still rebuilding though Seattle could flirt near the .500 mark during the season.

NL East
1. Philadelphia Phillies
2. Washington Nationals WC
3. Miami Marlins
4. Atlanta Braves
5. New York Mets
Experience will carry this Phillies team to another division crown as it will be a very close race for the crown against the young Washington Nationals. The Marlins will be in Wild Card contention but the NL is too good for the Marlins despite having a new ballpark. The Braves have a lot of question marks in key parts as this team should win 80+ wins but a playoff spot is out of their reach. Like the Orioles, the Mets will be having a good season if they win 70 games though the good news is that Johan Santana is back this season.

NL Central
1. Cincinnati Reds
2. St. Louis Cardinals
3. Milwaukee Brewers
4. Pittsburgh Pirates
5. Chicago Cubs
6. Houston Astros
The Reds are better than people think as they will seize the opportunity too get back to the playoffs by winning a weaker NL Central despite Ryan Madson's injury. The Cardinals have a really good rotation but the defending champs' lineup is fairly weak outside of Matt Holliday, Lance Berkman, and David Freese. The Brewers still have a very good rotation and a good lineup despite losing Prince Fielder but the Brewers are not the same team from last year. The Pirates are building a strong nucleus of young players but this is not their time to surge up the division. The Cubs are entering a rebuilding process while the Astros will try to avoid losing 100 games.

NL West
1. San Francisco Giants
2. Arizona Diamondbacks WC
3. Los Angeles Dodgers
4. Colorado Rockies
5. San Diego Padres
The Giants will be back this year as the Giants have Buster Posey back behind the plate as his bat will help the Giants get back to the playoffs. The D'backs had a breakout year last season and they will be back in the postseason this year. The Dodgers have a new, positive vibe after new ownership so expect a good season. The Rockies could really be dangerous next year as they have some great young pitching. The Padres traded Mat Latos and this team needs to do some rebuilding.

Playoff Predictions
Wild Cards
Texas over NY Yankees
Washington over Arizona

Divisional Round
Tampa Bay over LA Angels
Detroit over Texas
Cincinnati over Washington
Philadelphia over San Francisco

League Championship Series
Tampa Bay over Detroit
Philadelphia over Cincinnati

World Series
Tampa Bay over Philadelphia
The Rays have a great pitching staff and they have been to the World Series before. The Rays knows what it takes to win and the aging Phillies will not be able to stop them in October. Tampa Bay is my prediction to win the World Series. Baseball is back and another exciting season is about to start.

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